“Russia will never give up on your goals”: experts tell, how the next “truce” will become a screen for the implementation in Ukraine of the monstrous plans of Putin

From April 1, in the Donbass began operating the “ceasefire”. However, as shown by the reports of the headquarters of ATO, began to act he only formally as fighters as of the morning of the first day of “silence mode” more than ten times from small arms fired at the Ukrainian positions. In turn, the Ukrainian Armed Forces strictly observe the ceasefire, said the Headquarters.

The Minister of defence of Ukraine Stepan Poltorak in their
the queue shortly before the start of the “regime of silence” declared that the observance of
the truce in the first place, depends on Russia and it is under control of militants
“DNR” and “LNR”,
reports “Dialog. UA”.

However, he assured that if, despite
declared a “ceasefire”shelling of Ukrainian positions by the enemy will continue, Ukrainian
the party will be taken adequate steps in response to
prevent the capture of Ukrainian territory or threats to the lives of Ukrainian
soldiers.

It is worth remembering that the current “regime
of silence” declared in the Donbass, not the first. All attempts to install
truce and cease fire don’t
crowned with success, and if they manage to stop attacks,
only for a short time, after which the insurgents poured fire on Ukrainian positions with
the same force. Therefore the question arises whether there are grounds to hope that
this time will be different, and that the “regime of silence” will be observed
parties to the conflict.

Military experts shared their
forecasts on this score, and tried to explain why this item
The Minsk agreements is so difficult to implement, why “modes of the cease-fire” every time break.

The former head of the foreign intelligence Service of Ukraine,
General of army of Ukraine Mykola Malomuzh sure
On 1 April the number of attacks is partially reduced. In short period possible
even the ceasefire with a single destabilizing factors.

“However, Russia provides to continue to implement
the scenario of war. You can not even doubt that breaking the mode
the cease-fire, the enemy will continue to throw accusations
the Ukrainian side – something like Ukrainian
Patriotic groups that joined the Armed Forces and
The national guard, not to observe the “silent mode”. That is, Russia will
to act in the form of provocation: will shoot the enemy, while blaming
Ukrainian soldiers in violation of the agreement on cease-fire
despite the instructions of the President of Ukraine. This will be done to discredit
the Ukrainian President, our Armed Forces and the Ukrainian state in
General.

Thus, Russia will force Ukraine
to perform the Minsk agreement, but Russian scenarios: either to preserve
the conflict, achieving the appropriate status of the occupied territories, or
to push changes to the Constitution. If these directions are not
will, Russia will continue to destabilize the situation on the demarcation line
leading with a powerful information campaign against Ukraine, which is supposedly not
performs its obligations.

If so will go, the conflict in the Donbas
will be delayed. And so it will be as long as the negotiation process will not work
beyond the “Norman format” and to him are brought
other influential international players – the US, Europe, participants of the “Great
twenty” to solve global problems, and Ukrainian
the issues associated with the Donbas and the Crimea”, – said Malomuzh.

Lieutenant General, former Deputy head of SBU Alexander
Skipalsky is convinced that no compliance “regime of silence” on April 1, will not be
as no climactic change in Putin’s behavior regarding
the conflict in the Donbas has not occurred. Because the agreement on the cessation
fire is the only diplomatic fluctuations.

“In this regard, I note that the “morality” of the Russian
Orthodoxy is known around the world. If the representatives of the Russian Church was
truly believers, they would not be allowed to kill people with that
the other hand, would not agree simply to observe the death of believers
which they call their flock. If the Moscow Church wanted
to stop the war and bloodshed, including the Moscow Patriarchate
Ukraine, if the father was a patriot of Ukraine in the soul, they would have said: either you
stop the aggression or we break you and any Church connection. In
this case of the UOC-MP would do this Ukrainian Church. Then
if the war would be over in two days. But it is not.

Because according to the Russian Church, and,
accordingly, and hope that in connection with the Easter cease fire, can
only naive people.

Truce all the time, frustrated for the reason
that Russia is simply not interested in the cease-fire. She is interested in
further destabilization of the situation in Ukraine, the destruction of the Ukrainian economy and
maintain internal tensions in the country. Russia has not abandoned
your goal – to prevent
Ukraine, a European country, independent from Russia. Such motives
guided by Moscow, says
Skipalsky.

Former Deputy Minister of defense of Ukraine Vyacheslav
Kredisov believes that “modes of silence” to negotiate.

“The Ukrainian side must look for any mechanisms of influence on
the enemy, the aggressor, so he would also sit at the negotiating table, but did not solve
their questions and spoke to us, looking through the scope.Because the agreement
the cease-fire is needed, but how she will run this time is a big issue,” he said.

We will add that in the past
the day the militants attacked the APU across the front line, having made more than 90 provocations.
10 defenders of Ukraine were injured.