Pit stop, not a change of course. Today you need to know about the BPP

The main political subject of Ukraine on the eve of last weekend somehow became announced the resignation of Igor Gryniv as head of the parliamentary faction of the bloc of Petro Poroshenko. Media attention can be explained only by the fact that we are talking about a key faction of the Parliament, any fluctuation in which suddenly acquires a layer of the conspiracy. But once the media spotlight has illuminated a BPP than at the equator of the presidency of Petro Poroshenko faction it lives and what it represents? Which group is divided, due to what exists and what thoughts look to the future nominal “bayonets of the President.” Nominal, because the team President is a vertical Bank, the governors and part of the Cabinet. Faction his name in Parliament rather a conglomerate of situational allies on a clearly defined mutually beneficial terms. On this and the other – in the material LIGA.net.

What Prinivil and who instead

All who have written about the reasons for the rejection of a presidential political strategist with a troublesome and thankless office of the head of the faction of the right. Grineva from the first day there was a duty to follow the discipline of the most contrasting factions. “Hryniv analyst, he used to work with large amounts of information, organize and make decisions with all the risks, tendencies and trends. Of course, in order to control so disparate faction, as BPP, Lutsenko was in the nature any more,” said LIGA.net political consultant Victor Ukolov.

Gryn will work, which happens in his best – develop strategy for future elections, a company which as you know it is better to start a year and a half before election day. Yet many without much reason to talk about early elections, calendar of the parliamentary campaign is approaching in 2019 is not so far, and the campaign must start preparing now.

Excessive speculation about his resignation, may apply only to alleged conflict Grineva with Poroshenko. The only thing that is not said – the President uses the resignation Gryneva to reformat cooperation and negotiations with emissaries of the opposition bloc and, in particular, the group of Sergey Levochkin. “Previously, the contact on key issues and voting was a duty Grineva now have an excuse to change the negotiator and, more importantly, under this guise to renew the agreement with the leaders of the opposition bloc”, said political analyst Andrei Zolotarev. Bankova officially never prove it, but unofficially, do not argue. Perhaps the only thing that is really important in the subject of the impending resignation Grineva. The second question – who will lead the faction.

However, this is not even a question – with the probability close to 100% the third Chapter of the BPP for the convening in the next few days will be the President’s representative in Parliament Artur Gerasimov. His candidacy was endorsed by the Bank and has not caused much protest in the faction.

Gerasimov, as Gryn – confrontational figure, equidistant from the various interest groups and compromise, because the optimal. Besides, he has his own office and even a small unit in the presidential Administration, which facilitates communication of the Bank with deputies, and no personal political ambitions, which is important for the power of nature “first.” Separate the minor argument: Gerasimov, member of the party BPP Solidarity, in contrast Grineva. The names of the current Deputy head of the faction PPO – Berezenko, Iryna Lutsenko, Anatoly Matvienko or that exotic of all, Alexei Goncharenko came in the media “short list” of candidates, rather, at the request of the journalists, than actually were listed as candidates for the position. Especially worried about the attention, as it became known, Irina Lutsenko, not without irritation by insisting that “not eager” to lead the faction.

Five minutes to the PPB faction leader Arthur Gerasimov and the speaker of the Parliament Andrei Parubiy

Change Gerasimov at Grineva will not affect the nature of the work and the weather inside the President’s faction, it is a necessary technical reshuffle dictated by the reluctance of the strategist and mathematician Gryneva to take uncharacteristic negotiation, persuasion and conduct educational work. Rally speaking the language is a pit stop, after which the machine of BPP does not change neither direction nor pace. The only thing to complain about AP is that you cannot clone Yuriy Lutsenko , according to them, the current attorney General was the ideal leader of the faction who where the anecdote where a conviction, and where a strong word to find a common language with each Deputy.

Demons BPP

The Pro-presidential faction in the Verkhovna Rada is always and at all convocations was the most motley, motley and synthetic education, whether the NDP under Kuchma, Our Ukraine , Yushchenko or present STDs. A mixture of patriots and corrupt officials, professionals and populists, volunteers and opportunists – presidential faction, there are all sorts. And, of course, unity is quite loose, although, according to the presidential administration, a minimum of 115-120 people they controlled.

“Of course, there are different groups. There is a group of MPs who paid for the mandate and can afford to appear in a sessional hall are extremely rare. There is a group of majoritarian MPs that their vote trying to trade on staffing or financial preferences for your district. There is a group of so-called “ideological opposition”, – said LIGA.net ex-MP from the PPO Mykola Tomenko, deprived of the mandate after the withdrawal from the faction in the winter of 2015.

In General, today there are six groups within the BPP.

Berezenko Kononenko

The most influential and the most demonized group in the MFP, consisting of key business people in the President’s faction. “Deputies-businessmen from the group Kononenko vote only when requested by the President personally. For example, voting for Lutsenko to the Prosecutor General. Their voices responsible Kononenko,” says the same stated.

“Of course, Kononenko personally oversees the vote, or more importantly – not vote for some of them. For example, I personally saw how he forbade my neighbors on the sessional hall to press the button for the dismissal of certain judges, although officially the group was “for” their retirement”, – said the Deputy-azovets of BPP Oleg Petrenko, bearing in mind the failures of the voting on the dismissal of judges for breach of oath (penalty protesters) 29 Sep 2016.

In addition, if a “relationship” with the opposition bloc after the resignation Grineva temporarily takes up the President personally, over the voting right representatives of the parliamentary groups of the Renaissance and the will of the people before Poroshenko answers personally Sergey Berezenko.

Sergey Berezenko personally responsible for the votes the will of the people and Renaissance to the President

Tretyakov-Zagori

Not so the media highlighted a group of businessmen in the faction, as a cohort, Kononenko – in fact we are talking about it out loud only after its representatives have recklessly got involved in open defense Nasirov. They are not so closely associated personally with the President and not involved in the negotiations with other parliamentary actors. “Interest group Zagoria-Tretyakova – lobbying of their business, for which they pay discipline in the voting and some financial participation in the life of the faction”, – said in comments LIGA.net a former representative of the BPP, and now independent Deputy Dmitry ancient Turkic.

Mazhoritarshchik-independent candidates

A special caste of the presidential deputies, for whose conduct answered gryniv before he became head of the faction. They usually don’t need “bonuses and premiums” from the top, they are self-sufficient and willing to support by voting all the initiatives of the first person in exchange for budget incentives for districts and non-interference Central government in their way of life and rules of life. Usually their names to the readers a little about what I will say, if you don’t live in the district that elected the MP. Among them can be called Arkady Kornatsky, Andrey Vadatursky, Ivan Kulichenko, Ruslan Solara, Yuri Macedon, Yaroslav dubnevich. A group of these comrades can be called very conditional – they have in common only that they are willing to be loyal to the President while he is in power. But their influence in the regions is difficult to overestimate, because the constituencies have always been in the cohort of power. Any.

The Stec Group

In General, the deputies focused personally to Poroshenko, simply monitoring their behaviour busy the Minister of information policy is not the most powerful, but reliable group. It, in particular, includes Irina Friz, Alexander brygynets Alexander Chernenko and others come from the public sector. Separate subgroup here – mediaspelare who fills the evening air time for presidential Temnik. This is Alexey Goncharenko, Olga Chervakova, Oleg Barna, Ivan Vinnik (however, Vinnik, rather, people Pashinsky, but still included in the “media group” inside the faction and working on the rough copies if they are not contrary to the interests of the ex-Supervisory Board head of Ukroboronprom) and all the people you see on the screens except for the “Fronde” of the “fighters BPP”. This group is funded (the “additional payments” will be discussed below) – not curators-business faction, and directly “the register” of the presidential Administration.

BLOW

The representatives of this vain almost forgotten by many parties, meeting together with the team Poroshenko before the presidential election, look at the background of most every other professional in their field. With all the loyalty to the President they are ready for independent continuation of political life outside of BPP – STRIKE like frozen, so can be revived. And as, under the chairmanship of the mayor of Kiev Vitali Klitschko, and without it – close contact with deputies of udar still holds the first Deputy head of the AP Vitaliy Kovalchuk. This group includes everyone who is part of the faction of the Impact of last convocation – the same Oksana Prodan, Valery Karpuntsov, Pavlo rizanenko, Natalia Agafonova, Maria Ionova, Valery Patskan and others. Including delegated today to the government of Taras Kutovy and Paul Rozenko.

In fact, the fraction of the Impact today is not, but in fact the old team are ready for independent play. In the photo – the SHOCK of the previous convocation.

“Fronde”

The smallest, but most active and therefore known to all the team of “fighters” – Leshchenko, Nye, Zalishchuk and not joined them, but a breakaway from the BPP in General, the Deputy Kaplin. They are essentially no longer a BPP, but from the faction will not let them. And not because “the President wants to hear different opinions”, as you can tell in the Administration, but purely for technological reasons. Staying at a fraction of Leshchenko and To can’t (with the involvement of other independent) to officially create a conditional group Demalyansa or Euro-optimists. The existing inter-factional group is purely nominal. Leaving them at a fraction of the people Poroshenko is ineradicable argument in discussions “if you criticize the President, why remain in his faction”, to oppose whom nothing is impossible. The answer Leshchenko gave to this question LIGA.net “I mandate gave Poroshenko, and the people – these words are written in the oath of people’s Deputy. I don’t think the faction should leave those who are fighting against corruption. I am sure that, on the contrary, corrupt officials should leave the Parliament,” looks more like a lame excuse.

Themselves Leshchenko and the company of the faction will not be released ever, because they will lose the mandate after Tomenko and Firsov.

At whose expense Banquet

“The UDAR faction in the previous convocation have been single for many years, the members of which did not receive any additional payment. In the current convocation of such is not in any of the faction”, – said once the current AP Deputy Vitaly Kovalchuk. According to him, none of the MPs of the current convocation not is living solely on a salary of 8 thousand hryvnias. And it is not even about some corrupt horrors – just one gets the extra “cash”. The only exception is the MPs-purses, which extra payment is not needed, and on the contrary, they – are reset to “award” less wealthy colleagues. The average monthly bonus for a Deputy starts at $2 million is just for the fact that he is, and that vote – no extra activity in the form of providing himself as mediamover or shouldering on their shoulders conveyor proper parliamentary inquiries.

In each fraction the cashier is formed in different ways- somewhere it is radically unified and filled with external sponsors, someone “taking on myself I zrobiv” accumulation and distribution of funds among deputies. In the BPP, each of the groups there is self – sufficiency- the President was personally involved in the financing of the fraction only in the first months of work of new convocation – then it is the concern of “curators” have been referred to above.

Plans don’t change

Team BPP more than a motley and motley. However, the seams which can snap presidential support in Parliament will only become apparent in case of danger – as it always happens. Whether the mass protests in the country, which is not, or the proximity of elections with a low rating of the BPP, which is also unavailable. In other cases, in working order, the curators of the intra-faction groups with the support Bankova situation and the visible unity keep. Today the No. 1 goal has not changed – to keep visibility of the coalition, maintaining a constructive dialogue with the people’s Radical party and Vidrodzhennia (with those elections is not needed) and the systematic downgrade direct competitors of the Fatherland and Self-help. On methods will not speak – all too obvious.

Even before the exchange rate on the reset direct competitors, then, according to close to Bankova technologists, the President’s office together with the faction working to compromise with the non-parliamentary parties in the future. “Please note that as of the end of last year has changed the rhetoric of Freedom, Fennel, right-wing radicals, and even yesterday promising fighters. Criticism of the guarantor sounds every day provincialnoe and vtorichnoe. Our task is to direct them to the “internal dialogue” – say interested in cementing the position of the current government interlocutors.

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