In the foreign intelligence Service do not exclude full-scale invasion of Russia to Ukraine
Valery Kondratyuk
KIEV. August 1. UNN. At the present stage of the “hybrid war” Russia has deployed around Ukrainian military forces, which includes two new armies and army corps, which is a preparation for full-scale invasion on the territory of Ukraine. About this informed the head of the foreign intelligence Service Valery Kondratyuk, reports UNN with reference to Zn.ua.
As noted in the SVR, the Russian Federation is now actively prepares 20-th army (a total population of about 24 thousand persons), 8th army (about 45 thousand), and 22nd army corps (9 thousand).
It is noted that the level of armament of the newest tools in the strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation has reached 83%, in our aerospace forces – 75%, in the airborne troops and naval forces exceeded 63%, and in the army – 50%. The level of equipment with modern means of troop control is 67%.
Indicates that political pressure on Ukraine and the West the Kremlin intends to use the strategic military exercises “Caucasus-2020”, which will be worked out the scenario of the attack on neighboring countries.
“The total number of troops involved in the maneuvers, which will be held in September this year, will be at least 120 thousand, 3 thousand armored combat vehicles, about 300 aircraft, 250 helicopters, 50 ships and 5 submarines”, – said Kondratyuk.
He explains that the probable scenario is the use of troops to resolve the water issue temporarily occupied Crimea, since the annexation of mainland Ukraine was provided to 85% of needs of the Crimea in fresh water through a canal from the Dnieper.
“Association of concentration of the United States solely on their internal problems with the negotiation process, “not according to the Russian scenario”, significantly increases the willingness of Moscow to once again cross the “red line”. According to our estimates, the combined effect of these factors makes for the Kremlin of late the scenario of military aggression against Ukraine in the fall of 2020″, – said the head of the SVR.
States that according to the analysis of scouts, the future activity of the Russian Federation in respect of Ukraine can be transformed into a large-scale military operation with the capture of new Ukrainian territories. This can lead to the following factors:
▪ this is the need to divert attention from a number of domestic problems (the downgrade of the Russian government due to the deterioration of living standards, rapid economic decline, the weakening of the vertical of power, the Fronde of regional elites);
▪ this is the requirement to address socio-economic problems of temporarily occupied Crimea (water supply, failure of a resort season);
▪ this concentration of our leading international partners solely on their own internal problems (complex electoral processes, a radical aggravation of the social, demographic and economic issues, refugees, terrorism).
As reported earlier UNN, Russian supervision over the occupied Donbas has undergone significant changes.
